Shadow Sports MLB

[ShadowSports]

Milwaukee Brewers +109 over Arizona


Pick made at 11:50 EST 6/16/2014


The play is on the Milwaukee Brewers +109 at Arizona for 1.0% of one's bankroll.


Milwaukee is traveling to Arizona across a couple of time zones so "jet lag" is somewhat of a concern. It's also a concern for training staffs so the players tend to find out that most of their activities of daily living are addressed in a "concierge"-type style.


Arizona is returning home from Los Angeles


The weather is going to be beautiful with an expected game-time high of 101 degrees Fahrenheit (38 degrees Celsius) . With the extremely LOW desert humidity, that is quite comfortable playing weather. 20% humidity is about the TOPS that one wants; after that, things start getting "muggy" and "uncomfortable."




One certainly does not want to walk on the pavement but perspiration evaporates rapidly which keeps things cool.




Line opened up on the Brewers at +102 and has sinced climbed to +112 at BetCRIS and Guardian and sits at +109 here at the Olympic Sports Group (The Greek) lines/odds.


5 Dimes and Pinny have the Brewers at +107. The Greek is now showing +110. I bet at +109.


Diamondbacks took 2 out of 3 from Milwaukee in early May but the play of Arizona has taken a decided turn for the worse recently.


D'backs' starter Brandon McCarthey has been getting roughed up by opposing offenses although his strikeout/walk ratio is pretty good BUT THEN if one is dishing out base hits like candy thennnnn.....


Wily Peralta isn't the greatest pitcher in the world but he does pitch well against the poorer offensive teams.


Milwaukee is not going to let the fate of this game rest on Peralta though; expect a quick exit if he falters and watch Brewers coaching rotate in reliever-after-releiver to preserve a victory against a D'backs' offense that is struggling but has shown signs of potency.


The "potency" motif is somewhat diminished by Arizona's offense not really contributing their fair share of runs scored to the 50/50 o/u totals in their most recent games.


Arizona's DEFENSE yielding runs has been what has been sending these games OVER.


Brewers hit righthanded pitching fairly well and the D'backs' McCarthy is not all that great of a righthanded MLB Pitcher.


Take the BREWERS at +109

 

[ShadowSports]

My apologies to the Admin for not posting in the appropriate forum.

In the "old country" transgressions such as this would have resulted in government officials executing me and turning the remains of my corpse into a bar of soap to benefit society as a whole.

Thank goodness that I'm here at The Rx

 

[ShadowSports]

Baltimore +107 over Tampa Bay

Pick made at 11:58 EST 6/16/2014 The play is Baltimore +107 at Tampa Bay for 1.0% of one's bankroll. Bookmaker opened the betting/wagering yesterday at Rays @ -110 and we saw the line rise in favor of the Rays to a high of Rays @ -121 before settling back down to Rays @ -117. Chen is pitching extremely well for Baltimore and has shown excellent control in his most recent outings. Chen hasn't pitched deeply into too many games so there is clearly some concern on the part of the Orioles' coaching that they should rely on a good- to solid- stable of bullpen relievers to preserve his victories. The Rays do not provide that good of offensive support for righthanded starter, Jake Odorizzi who has been roughed up lately by opposing batters and he himself has had control problems just about all season long in dishing out bases-on-balls to the opposing offenses. The last thing one wants when watching a game with MONEY RIDING ON THE LINE is your starting pitcher putting a bunch of men on base and having to turn into a MAGICIAN by figuratively "pulling rabbits out of his [magician's] hat" inning after inning. 5 Dimes has the Orioles at +109 on their regularly favorable no-juice line and Baltimore +1.5 at -190 on their reduced-juice offering. The Greek now has Baltimore @ +110. I bet the game at +107 Take the Orioles at +107

 

[ShadowSports]

SDG/SEA Under 7.0 total runs scored @ -115

Pick posted at 12:58 EST 6/16/2014


SDG/SEA UNDER 7.0 runs @ -115 is the play for 1.0% of one's bankroll.


This is not as intuitive a proposition as it seems on its face. The Sportsbook industry norm of 7.5 runs scored per MLB matchup would show this game @-145 so one needs to have sufficient justification to take the UNDER here.


The first point of validation is that both teams offensively are playing even poorer than normal.


8 of the Mariners' last 10 games have gone UNDER the posted o/u total. More telling is that 7 of their last 10 games have had posted o/u totals of 7 runs or less... 3 of those had a posted o/u total of 6.5 total runs scored with two of those three games going UNDER and of the remaining 4 games where the posted o/u total was 7.0 total runs scored, we see that 2 of those 4 went UNDER the posted 7.0 total.


The 3 remaining games had 2 posted at 7.5 runs and one game @ 8.0 runs... all 3 games went UNDER.


In 6 of the 7 games that went UNDER, the Mariners' poor offensive play would serve as the assignable cause.


Now the Mariners offense is forced to go up against the Padres' Tyson Ross who has pitched well all season as well as having pitched well recently.


The CLINCHER for the UNDER bettor in this game is not Tyson Ross BUT INSTEAD the Mariners' bullpen. The Padres are just awful offensively so expect the Mariners to quickly go to a well-rested bullpen of capable relievers if Starting Pitcher, Chris Young falters.


Since UNDER 7.5 Runs @ -145 would be justified then UNDER 7.0 runs @ -115 is justified.


Pinny now has the UNDER @ -103 and 5 Dimes has it @ -107.


The Greek is now showing the UNDER @ -110. I myself bet the UNDER @ -115.




Take the UNDER @ -115 for 1.0% of one's bankroll

 

[ShadowSports]

MLB 6/17/2014
SDG/SEA Under 7.5 runs @ -120 for 1.0% of one's bankroll


It's pretty obvious by now that the Padres are not relying on their offense to win baseball games and their emphasis has been as much on keeping a healthy rotation within their starting pitching and bullpen relief personnel.




Bookie opened the o/u totals wagering at UNDER 7.5 total runs scored @ -117 and bettors everywhere except 5 Dimes, Island Casino and Sport Bet have jumped on the UNDER to where Heritage, YouWager and SBO have now dropped the O/U number to UNDER 7.0 total runs scored at +100 or close to that.




8 of Seattle's last 10 games have gone UNDER the O/U total including the last 4 in a row.












7 of San Diego's last 10 have gone UNDER the posted O/U total including the last 3 in a row.




3 of the last 4 games between the Mariners and Padres have gone UNDER as have 5 of the last 7 times these teams have met.








Restricting our scrutiny to the games where the posted O/U totals were at 7.0 runs, 6.5 runs and yessss, 6.0 runs we see that the bookie has posted the O/U line at one of those numbers 4 out of the last 10 meetings going back to June of 2012.




The guys who set the odds and try to split the public's money evenly are having a tough time putting a low enough number on these matchups.




Against all opposition, Seattle has had a posted O/U Total of 7.0 or lower in 8 of their last 10 games.




The 2 remaining games posted at 7.5 runs both went UNDER. All 3 games posted at 6.5 runs also went UNDER.




Mariners lefthander, Roenis Elias is pitching well as of late against some pretty talented ball clubs. He is backed up by some good pitching in the Mariners' bullpen




With San Diego's offensive woes, that Mariners' pitching supports an UNDER bet.




Blaine Boyer was brought up from El Paso to pitch middle relief for the Padres and performed well in last night's game.




Boyer gave up no hits or walks and struck out 1 in the 18 pitches that he threw.




Padres' starter,Eric Stults doesn't hang around too long in games before he gets yanked and today will be no exception if he shows the coaching staff that he can't get the job done against a very weak Mariners offense, particularly with the Padres pitching well coming out of the bullpen.




Padres are awful against quality lefthanded pitching.




Take the UNDER




Picks monitored using The Greek lines at Sports-Bettors and Monitor Sports Picks.




At 5:26 AM EST Monitor Sports Picks had still not posted their lines from The Greek.

 

[ShadowSports]

MLB 6/17/2014 Phillies +162 over Atlanta

MLB 6/17/2014 Phillies +162 over Atlanta for 1.0% of one's bankroll

Pick verified at Monitor Sports Picks


Sports-Bettors Monitor has not yet updated the lines to account for the money movement in favor of the Phillies so it is only +153 there.


Quite odd, because BOTH MONITORING SITES use line/odds feed from The Greek Sportsbook






It's going to be very muggy weather-wise in Atlanta tonight with only a light chance of rain.


Phillies playing well as of late and they hit righthanded pitching better than they do lefties.


Phillies' two most-rested relievers have pitched well and a 3rd-good reliever is working off only 1 day's rest.


Phillies' righty starter Kendrick has some "pop/punch" in his pitches as of late and it is good to know he will be yanked quickly in favor of an overworked yet talented bullpen should things start to go bad..


Nothing to write home about but Phillies have shown SOME DECENT (not "great") MEASURE of ABILITY to offensively score better than their fair 50/50 share of runs in the posted O/U Totals as "dogs" and "small favs"


Braves have yielded a BUNCH OF RUNS defensively and it is only a much-improved offense and scoring that has kept them in the hunt for victories.


Braves have been favored in 8 of their last 10 games and have not really done that great when you consider that the bookie himself has expected them to give up a lot of runs AS EVIDENCED BY high o/u posted totals.


Money has moved IN FAVOR of the UNDERDOG Phillies who have the pitching to keep the Atlanta offense in check and the improved batting/hitting to exploit Atlanta where the bookie himself feel the Braves are vulnerable.


Take the BIG UNDERDOG MONEY and bet the PHILLIES +162

 

[ShadowSports]

MLB 6/17/2014 - MIN/BOS Under 8.5 runs @ -120

Picks monitored using The Greek lines at Sports Bettors Monitor and Monitor Sports Picks .



The bet/wager is MIN/BOS Under 8.5 total runs scored @ -120 for 1.0% of one's bankroll.

Boston hasn't mustered much in the way of offense against some of the more average pitchers in MLB and now they are going up against a talented Twins' Righthander, Phil Hughes. Hughes has excellent control and has kept his pitch count down in recent outings.

Neither Hughes nor Boston Lefty, Lester has much in the way of support in their bullpens but with the poor- to middlin-scoring of both units one can expect thhe managers of both teams to empty their bullpens if the game is within reach.


Eduardo Nunez is questionable for the Twins due to injury so that takes a major hit on the Twins scoring ability.


Take the UNDER

 

[ShadowSports]

I cracked the TOP 5 of the Free-pick LEADERBOARD at Sports Bettors Monitors off of yesterday's run of good luck.




The Royals game has already started
The Twins/Boston has already started
You can view that I logged them in on time at the two VERIFICATION sites below
These are all free picks anyway


No write-ups today due to the length of time it took The Greek and 5Dimes to post the line/odds on the MIL/ARI game.


Kansas City Royals +125 at Detroit Tigers

Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox Under 8½/ -105

New York Mets at St Louis Cardinals Under 7½/ -125

Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates Under 7½/ +100

Seattle Mariners at San Diego Padres Under 6/ -115

Seattle Mariners -130 at San Diego Padres


Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees Under 9/ -115


Milwaukee Brewers -114 at Arizona Diamondbacks

Pick verified at Monitor Sports Picks which uses lines/odds from The Greek but does not update them throughout the day


Sports-Bettors Monitor also has lines/odds from The Greek Sportsbook... they update the lines/odds BUT THEY DON'T post the lines/odds till well past 9:00 AM EST

 

[ShadowSports]

MLB Games of 6/19/2014

6/19/14 1:05PM Kansas City Royals +130 at Detroit Tigers




6/19/14 3:40PM Milwaukee Brewers -120 at Arizona Diamondbacks




6/19/14 6:40PM Seattle Mariners at San Diego Padres Under 7 /-110




Eastern Standard Time


I have cracked the TOP 5 of the Free-pick LEADERBOARD at Sports Bettors Monitors off of a week's run of good luck.


Since it was a good run of luck, THE TRICK THEN WOULD BE to see if I can manage to STAY on the leaderboard.






Pick verified at Monitor Sports Picks which uses lines/odds from The Greek; they update the lines/odds BUT THEY DON'T post the lines/odds till well past 9:00 AM EST










Sports-Bettors Monitor also has lines/odds from The Greek Sportsbook... but does not update them throughout the day

 

[ShadowSports]

... adding ATL/WAS Under 7.0 runs @ +110

6/19/14 1:05PM Kansas City Royals +130 at Detroit Tigers




6/19/14 3:40PM Milwaukee Brewers -120 at Arizona Diamondbacks




6/19/14 6:40PM Seattle Mariners at San Diego Padres Under 7 /-110




Eastern Standard Time


I have cracked the TOP 5 of the Free-pick LEADERBOARD at Sports Bettors Monitors off of a week's run of good luck.


Since it was a good run of luck, THE TRICK THEN WOULD BE to see if I can manage to STAY on the leaderboard.






Pick verified at Monitor Sports Picks which uses lines/odds from The Greek; they update the lines/odds BUT THEY DON'T post the lines/odds till well past 9:00 AM EST










Sports-Bettors Monitor also has lines/odds from The Greek Sportsbook... but does not update them throughout the day